More on Amtrak Connects US

The original map

The modified map with additions in California

 

Corridors of Interest Map

Shortly after writing this piece, I had the following thought:

Could Amtrak Connects US be a bane on any non-Amtrak, non-Brightline passenger service? What if there's some entity planning intercity service on the low and their plans are co-opted by the national operator's plan to the point that it adversely affects the other entity's plans? 

Based on the fourth overall slide, it seems that Jim Coston of Corridor Capital may have answered that question during a presentation in Ohio. 

Namely, the answer seems to confirm my suspicions because why does anyone need a three-decade long contract unless they're scared of someone else providing better service? 

It's also worth noting that Coston pointed out that Herzog's Transit America Services is currently only the third intercity operator in the nation with its CTrail Hartford Line service. Combine those two with the San Joaquin JPA threatening to transfer the San Joaquin trains to Herzog and it becomes clear that Amtrak management is actually playing defense rather than taking the initiative. 

The Hartford Line runs on Amtrak tracks--don't forget that loss really wore Amtrak management down during the '10s (then-Amtrak boss Joe Boardman was perplexed that Connecticut didn't automatically hand the Hartford Line contract to Amtrak). Meanwhile, losing one of California's three state-sponsored corridors would start a ripple effect that would not only see AIPRO operators providing expanded service but would also undermine Connects US mainly due to the fact that these five operators would have skin in the game at the highest level.